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Perfil oficial en la Comisión Nacional de los Salarios Mínimos
An institutional profile with education, professional experience, current responsibilities and contact information for Conasami's presidency.
Publications
Columns, research and conversations about economics and work. Search by keyword or filter by type.
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An institutional profile with education, professional experience, current responsibilities and contact information for Conasami's presidency.
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Joint work by SESNSP and CONASAMI estimating, for each state, sufficient income for police personnel and their families to meet food, housing, health, education and recreation needs.
Fiscal year 2026–2027
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A series of extended reports and monthly presentations by the Technical Directorate to Conasami's Council of Representatives.
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A collaboration agreement to study the relationship between wage policy, retirement savings and pension adequacy.
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An institutional tool for consulting, analyzing and comparing wage and labor information published by Conasami.
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Interprets the fall in working poverty in 2026 alongside slower formal employment growth, highlighting real income growth in formal and informal sectors.
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Coverage of a dialogue with private security representatives on wage recovery, labor costs and competitiveness.
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A collection of working papers on wages and labor markets produced by Conasami's Technical Directorate.
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A presentation and discussion of the CEEY Social Observatory's long-term analysis of poverty in Mexico between 1950 and 2024.
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The second session of the CONSAR Seminar, devoted to national minimum wage policy and its effects on pensions and well-being.
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An advisory commission created to assess whether occupations should remain on the occupational minimum wage list, the effects of increases since 2017 and the application of the Independent Recovery Amount.
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The institutional program defining Conasami's objectives, strategies and targets for 2025–2030 within the national policy for fair wages.
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The canonical collection of wage-setting proposals submitted by the Government of Mexico to the Council of Representatives for 2019–2026, alongside specific occupational minimum wage proposals.
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Explains the 2026 wage agreement and quantifies its aggregate labor cost against the accumulated distributional benefits.
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An interview on the expected minimum wage path during the 2024–2030 administration.
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An interview following the 2026 wage agreement on the expected minimum wage path and the goal of 2.5 basic baskets.
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An interview on the 2026 minimum wage increase, CONASAMI's tripartite consensus, effects on other wages and the goal of reaching 2.5 basic baskets.
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An interview following the 2026 wage agreement on beneficiaries, tripartite negotiations and technical criteria for avoiding adverse effects on employment and inflation.
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The tripartite resolution for the 2026 minimum wages, with different increases for the general zone and northern border.
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The official collection of general and occupational minimum wage tables, with information from 1992 onward and the applicable tables for each year.
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Compares trends in productivity and real wages to discuss the argument that wages can grow only after productivity rises.
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Reflects on the 2025 Nobel Prize in Economics, innovation, creative destruction and their relationship to the wage debate.
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An institutional method for estimating a monetary threshold compatible with a dignified life, including food, housing, other goods and services, savings or emergencies, and taxes.
Preliminary ENIGH 2024 methodology
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A conversation between Mario Luis Fuentes and Luis Felipe Munguía on CONASAMI's history, major wage-policy decisions and the outlook for Mexico's minimum wage.
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An institutional update to CONASAMI's analysis of wage policy's effect on poverty reduction during 2018–2024.
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A data-focused interview on estimates of how much of the poverty reduction between 2018 and 2024 can be attributed to minimum wage increases.
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Assesses the contribution of minimum wage policy to the historic reduction in poverty between 2018 and 2024.
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A long-form essay on Mexico's minimum wage recovery, labor market concentration and the economic evidence that accompanied the policy shift.
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An institutional compendium of methods for wage and labor indicators developed by Conasami's Technical Directorate.
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Interprets the decline in working poverty alongside recent changes in employment, wages and job quality.
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Connects the high concentration of Mexican labor markets with monopsony theory and the scope for raising minimum wages.
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Discusses an agenda for strengthening the economy through the domestic market, labor income and continued wage recovery.
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An agreement to develop research and evidence on working conditions and adequate remuneration for police personnel.
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A discussion of tools, legal issues and public policies for reducing Mexico's gender wage gap.
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Participation in the economics and quality employment roundtable of the National Development Plan 2025–2030 consultation forum, assessing minimum wage policy effects.
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An interview on the rationale for the 12% increase for 2025, the constitutional rule keeping wages above inflation and the measure's direct beneficiaries.
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An extensive interview on the transition from minimum wage recovery to growth and the review of the occupational wage schedule.
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An interview on the historical loss of minimum wage purchasing power, the economic ideas behind wage restraint and the recovery that began in 2019.
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An interview on modernizing the occupational minimum wage schedule, the goal of 2.5 basic baskets and wage-policy measurement challenges.
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A television interview on the 12% minimum wage increase for 2025 and its expected effect on purchasing power.
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Explains the goal of raising the minimum wage to cover 2.5 basic baskets by the end of the 2024–2030 administration.
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An update to the proposed Employment Conditions Manual and Index using ENOE and SINCO 2019 to measure precariousness across occupations.
Data through 2024
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President Claudia Sheinbaum issued the appointment confirming Luis Felipe Munguía Corella as head of CONASAMI on October 1, 2024; the agency officially announced it on February 1, 2025.
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An institutional account of planning, research and evaluation by CONASAMI's Technical Directorate during 2018–2024, covering Munguía's time as Technical Director and later President.
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Coverage of findings shared by Munguía on formal and informal wage gaps and the differential minimum wage effect among low-income women.
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Explains the peso's depreciation through external financial factors, particularly the yen, the carry trade and monetary policy expectations in Japan and the United States.
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Examines the decline in individual disputes and the role of pretrial conciliation in the new labor justice system.
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An interview in which Munguía explains why Mexico's minimum wage recovery became a case study and sets out goals for basic-basket coverage.
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Reviews income and well-being indicators to place the distributional effects of the administration's wage policy in context.
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Analyzes the individual account system and proposals to increase pension replacement rates and adequacy.
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An international panel on Mexico's pension reform, labor market trends and new social security policies.
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An assessment and agenda for labor policy: wage recovery, working conditions and the work still needed to deepen workers' well-being.
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Coverage of an international comparison shared by Munguía on Mexico's position among Latin American minimum wages between 2018 and 2024.
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Coverage of a thread by Munguía on formal employment, informality and the absence of an adverse minimum wage effect on formalization.
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Coverage of an analysis of labor costs by firm size and the argument that higher consumption can particularly benefit small and medium-sized firms.
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Coverage of data shared by Munguía comparing cumulative changes in the minimum wage, average wage and different price indices since 2018.
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An interview on reviewing and modernizing occupational minimum wages after the 2024 minimum wage was set.
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Explains the tripartite process for setting the 2024 minimum wage and the economic criteria surrounding negotiations.
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The Spanish institutional version of the study estimating the effect of minimum wage increases on multidimensional poverty in Mexico between 2018 and 2022.
Institutional version in Spanish
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Estimates the causal effect of minimum wage recovery on multidimensional poverty and labor income in Mexico.
English / SSRN working paper
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A session of the Center for Economic Studies' Economics Topics II seminar devoted to monopsonistic labor markets.
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The annual update of the Employment Conditions Index for SINCO 2019 occupations, covering four dimensions of labor vulnerability.
Data through 2023
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An institutional update to the Jóvenes Construyendo el Futuro evaluation using ENIGH 2022 and reproducible datasets and calculation code.
ENIGH 2022
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Presents Conasami estimates of the relationship between real minimum wage recovery and the reduction in multidimensional poverty.
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Analyzes ENIGH 2022, income growth in the poorest deciles and preliminary estimates of poverty reduction associated with distributional changes.
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An IMER Noticias interview with Luis Felipe Munguía on corporate profits' contribution to inflation and the small contribution of wage costs to the inflationary episode.
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Coverage of Munguía's public assessment of labor policy in 2018–2023, including the minimum wage, union democracy, labor justice and subcontracting.
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An evaluation using CFCRL and IMSS data to compare employers with and without workers covered by legitimized collective agreements and estimate the process's effect on wage differentials.
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Tracks growth in profit sharing after the reform restricting personnel subcontracting.
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A keynote address to Tlaxcala's business community on minimum wage recovery, inflation and the distributional effects of the new wage policy.
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Discusses the contribution of corporate margins and profits to inflation and questions explanations that attribute it mainly to wages.
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Coverage of a thread on the relative shares of wages and profits in Mexico's value added and comparisons with other countries.
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Coverage of Conasami estimates of the reduction in the formal gender wage gap associated with the minimum wage and complementary proposals on care, leave and wage transparency.
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Reviews the 2023 minimum wages, their real recovery and expected effects on both formal workers and informal-sector income.
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Coverage of Munguía's response to a debate about how many people directly receive the minimum wage and how many are affected by an increase.
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Quantifies the labor cost of wage policy and explains why its aggregate effect on prices is limited.
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A presentation to SNIEG's National Advisory Council on using an equivalent minimum wage to produce consistent wage comparisons over time.
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Reviews union democracy, worker organization and the new labor justice system after the reform's nationwide implementation.
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The appointment of Luis Felipe Munguía Corella as the Federal Executive's economic and financial expert in constitutional dispute 77/2021 brought by Banco de México.
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Breaks down the diversity of informal employment and explains why labor informality, tax evasion and precarious work are related but distinct concepts.
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A public presentation of Conasami's Employment Conditions Index, combining labor, legal, benefit and demographic dimensions to identify vulnerable occupations.
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An institutional method for assessing vulnerability and employment conditions by occupation through an index integrating labor, legal, social protection and sociodemographic dimensions.
2022 update
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Describes a method for restoring comparability over time in wage statistics when the minimum wage grows in real terms.
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An interview on the 2023 wage negotiations, inflation and purchasing-power recovery goals.
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Coverage of the methodological discussion of wage ranges and the use of a fixed reference year to compare labor income distributions.
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Links the sharp increase in profit sharing to the subcontracting reform and compliance with labor rights.
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Coverage of data shared by Munguía on real average wage growth and differences by income level and economic sector.
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Links ageist language in job advertisements to experimental evidence of hiring discrimination using text analysis and machine learning.
Published article
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Compares Mexican inflation with other Latin American economies and analyzes global food, gas and oil shocks following Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
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Analyzes the 2022 anti-inflation package in the context of global supply, energy and food shocks.
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Coverage of the identification of firms paying below the minimum wage and the announced coordination with STPS to strengthen labor compliance.
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Examines how minimum wage recovery can reduce the gender wage gap by benefiting proportionally more low-paid women workers.
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Evaluates the municipal-level effect of minimum wage increases on the formal-employment gender wage gap and finds a cumulative reduction associated with the new wage policy.
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Explains why ranges expressed as multiples of the minimum wage cease to be comparable when the real minimum wage changes rapidly.
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Uses rising lime prices as a starting point to explain supply-driven inflation and its effects on households.
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An ASSA 2022 paper session on the relationship between ageist language in job advertisements and hiring discrimination.
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Reviews the historical argument automatically linking minimum wage increases to inflation and contrasts it with recent evidence.
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A profile and interview on Conasami's analytical transformation and the technical strategy behind wage increases.
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An interview with Luis Felipe Munguía about research detecting discriminatory language and age bias in job advertisements through computational analysis.
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Connects the 2021 Nobel Prize in Economics with the empirical revolution in labor economics and modern evidence on minimum wages.
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Presents findings from a preliminary evaluation of Jóvenes Construyendo el Futuro and its role as a route into employment.
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An institutional evaluation using ENIGH 2020 to examine employment, income, healthcare access and food security among Jóvenes Construyendo el Futuro beneficiaries during the pandemic.
ENIGH 2020 / pandemic
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A public presentation of the Jóvenes Construyendo el Futuro evaluation during the pandemic, including the estimate that graduates were twice as likely to find work as the comparison group.
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A contribution on USMCA labor commitments, the wage gap and Mexico's minimum wage recovery.
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Discusses the role of wage increases in cushioning poverty during the health crisis.
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Explains the minimum wage recovery goals set out in Conasami's institutional program.
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The institutional program setting Conasami's objectives and targets for 2021–2024, including restoring an adequate minimum wage and updating occupational minimum wages.
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Analyzes the spillover effects of minimum wage recovery on other levels of labor income and the wage distribution.
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Analyzes how school closures and reopenings affected women's return to the labor market unequally.
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An interpretation of the 2021 rise in inflation and its implications for workers' purchasing power.
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Examines the subcontracting reform and distinguishes productive uses of outsourcing from arrangements that undermine wages, benefits and employer responsibilities.
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English translation pending review. Summary and notes are shown in their original Spanish.
Explica por qué los múltiplos de salario mínimo pueden distorsionar comparaciones intertemporales cuando el propio mínimo cambia rápidamente.
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Explica el modelo de monopsonio y presenta resultados de un artículo propio sobre cómo los efectos del salario mínimo cambian con la concentración del mercado laboral.
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The published version of the international review of heterogeneous employment effects of minimum wages in developing countries.
Published article
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Revisa cuatro objeciones recurrentes a los incrementos del salario mínimo —inflación, productividad, costos empresariales y ganancias— y las contrasta con evidencia empírica.
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Coverage of a thread by Luis Felipe Munguía on the labor cost of the minimum wage increase for small and medium-sized firms and the offsetting effect of higher domestic consumption.
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Participation in a Senate discussion on reforming Article 90 of the Federal Labor Law to prevent minimum wage increases from falling below inflation.
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Discute los criterios para fijar el salario mínimo de 2021 en plena crisis económica y la incorporación de nuevas profesiones al sistema de mínimos profesionales.
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Estimates heterogeneous minimum wage effects by labor market concentration and mobility, offering a monopsony explanation for mixed findings.
Published article
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Expone las metas de recuperación del salario mínimo, la actualización de salarios mínimos profesionales y la incorporación de trabajadoras del hogar y jornaleros agrícolas.
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A VoxDev summary of the review of minimum wages and employment in developing countries.
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Presenta al programa Jóvenes Construyendo el Futuro como política de inserción laboral, apoyo a poblaciones vulnerables y mecanismo de capacitación para empresas.
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Analiza brechas salariales, trabajo de cuidados y recuperación desigual del empleo de mujeres, y plantea salario mínimo y transparencia salarial como herramientas de política pública.
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Examina tres posibles explicaciones del aumento de la productividad laboral durante el confinamiento.
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Analiza las primeras señales de recuperación del empleo formal durante la pandemia.
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Revisa la propuesta de reforma de pensiones y sus implicaciones para las personas trabajadoras.
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Discute los alcances y límites del ingreso básico universal en el contexto mexicano.
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Explica las funciones del seguro de desempleo durante una crisis económica.
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The IZA version of the study on ageist language and discrimination, distributed as a discussion paper before publication in the Journal of Labor Economics.
IZA discussion paper
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Examina cómo sostener la recuperación del salario mínimo durante una crisis.
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Analiza la automatización del trabajo en México y los cambios acelerados por la pandemia.
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Reflexiona sobre automatización, creación de valor y el futuro del trabajo.
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Examina qué grupos de trabajadores resultaban más afectados al inicio de la pandemia.
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Reflexiona sobre los cambios laborales que podría acelerar la pandemia: trabajo remoto, flexibilidad, reorganización productiva y un papel más fuerte del Estado ante las crisis.
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Plantea apoyos fiscales al empleo y a las personas desempleadas frente a la crisis de 2020.
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A preprint studying how minimum wage effects vary with concentration and monopsony power in local labor markets.
preprint
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A doctoral dissertation bringing together research on minimum wage effects in imperfect labor markets.
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A working paper combining a correspondence experiment with computational linguistics to study whether ageist stereotypes in advertisements predict hiring discrimination.
NBER working paper
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Reviews the literature on developing countries and shows that negative employment effects emerge more clearly where wages are binding, enforcement is stronger and workers are vulnerable.
NBER working paper
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A discussion held under the CONASAMI–Universidad La Salle agreement and the presentation of the International Living Wage Observatory.
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An assessment of productivity, wages and decent work in Mexico, emphasizing wage restraint, bargaining power, gender inequality and labor market institutions.
Labor policy monograph
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Constructs a measure of compliance with wage legislation to study why employment effects differ across developing countries.
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The official December 2018 announcement documents Luis Felipe Munguía Corella's appointment as CONASAMI's Technical Director at the start of a new phase in the agency's wage policy.
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A presentation of research on how the capacity to enforce wage legislation helps explain heterogeneous minimum wage effects on employment in developing countries.
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Studies the effect of tariff reduction and simplification on industrial employment using panel models.
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A master's research project studying the effect of economic growth on income distribution across Mexican states using dynamic panel methods.
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Reviews the technological and organizational evolution of the maquiladora industry and argues that a strategy based solely on low labor costs needed to shift toward knowledge-intensive, higher-value activities.