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Empleo, salarios y reducción de la pobreza laboral
Interprets the fall in working poverty in 2026 alongside slower formal employment growth, highlighting real income growth in formal and informal sectors.
Opinion
Columns
Writing on work, wages and public policy. Each publication includes a summary and a link to read it at its original source.
58 publications · Newest first
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El incremento al salario mínimo 2026
Explains the 2026 wage agreement and quantifies its aggregate labor cost against the accumulated distributional benefits.
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Productividad y salarios: el aumento al salario mínimo 2026
Compares trends in productivity and real wages to discuss the argument that wages can grow only after productivity rises.
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El premio Nobel de economía y el salario mínimo
Reflects on the 2025 Nobel Prize in Economics, innovation, creative destruction and their relationship to the wage debate.
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El salario mínimo, la política más efectiva contra la pobreza
Assesses the contribution of minimum wage policy to the historic reduction in poverty between 2018 and 2024.
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How Mexico Doubled the Minimum Wage
A long-form essay on Mexico's minimum wage recovery, labor market concentration and the economic evidence that accompanied the policy shift.
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Empleo digno y reducción de la pobreza laboral
Interprets the decline in working poverty alongside recent changes in employment, wages and job quality.
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La concentración en el mercado laboral y cómo contrarrestarla
Connects the high concentration of Mexican labor markets with monopsony theory and the scope for raising minimum wages.
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Los cinco puntos para fortalecer la economía
Discusses an agenda for strengthening the economy through the domestic market, labor income and continued wage recovery.
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Nueva meta de salario mínimo
Explains the goal of raising the minimum wage to cover 2.5 basic baskets by the end of the 2024–2030 administration.
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Depreciación del peso mexicano y caos en el mercado financiero
Explains the peso's depreciation through external financial factors, particularly the yen, the carry trade and monetary policy expectations in Japan and the United States.
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La justicia laboral es más expedita
Examines the decline in individual disputes and the role of pretrial conciliation in the new labor justice system.
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El impacto del incremento del salario mínimo en los indicadores socioeconómicos: un análisis poselectoral
Reviews income and well-being indicators to place the distributional effects of the administration's wage policy in context.
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La seguridad social en México: sistema de pensiones
Analyzes the individual account system and proposals to increase pension replacement rates and adequacy.
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Bienestar laboral: segundo piso de la transformación
An assessment and agenda for labor policy: wage recovery, working conditions and the work still needed to deepen workers' well-being.
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El incremento al salario mínimo en 2024
Explains the tripartite process for setting the 2024 minimum wage and the economic criteria surrounding negotiations.
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El impacto del salario mínimo en la pobreza
Presents Conasami estimates of the relationship between real minimum wage recovery and the reduction in multidimensional poverty.
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Por el bien de todos, primero los pobres
Analyzes ENIGH 2022, income growth in the poorest deciles and preliminary estimates of poverty reduction associated with distributional changes.
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Incremento en el pago por reparto de utilidades
Tracks growth in profit sharing after the reform restricting personnel subcontracting.
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La inflación de las empresas
Discusses the contribution of corporate margins and profits to inflation and questions explanations that attribute it mainly to wages.
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Nuevo año, nuevo salario mínimo
Reviews the 2023 minimum wages, their real recovery and expected effects on both formal workers and informal-sector income.
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Efecto del salario mínimo en la inflación y costos laborales
Quantifies the labor cost of wage policy and explains why its aggregate effect on prices is limited.
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La reforma laboral y la transformación en el mundo del trabajo
Reviews union democracy, worker organization and the new labor justice system after the reform's nationwide implementation.
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¿Cómo está compuesta la informalidad?
Breaks down the diversity of informal employment and explains why labor informality, tax evasion and precarious work are related but distinct concepts.
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La nueva metodología para medir los rangos de salario mínimo
Describes a method for restoring comparability over time in wage statistics when the minimum wage grows in real terms.
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El reparto histórico de utilidades a los trabajadores
Links the sharp increase in profit sharing to the subcontracting reform and compliance with labor rights.
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Conflicto global e inflación en América Latina
Compares Mexican inflation with other Latin American economies and analyzes global food, gas and oil shocks following Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
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Plan contra la inflación y la carestía para cuidar la economía popular
Analyzes the 2022 anti-inflation package in the context of global supply, energy and food shocks.
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La brecha de género y el salario mínimo
Examines how minimum wage recovery can reduce the gender wage gap by benefiting proportionally more low-paid women workers.
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¡Hay que dejar de usar rangos de salario mínimo!
Explains why ranges expressed as multiples of the minimum wage cease to be comparable when the real minimum wage changes rapidly.
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La inflación y el precio del limón
Uses rising lime prices as a starting point to explain supply-driven inflation and its effects on households.
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El incremento del salario mínimo y el mito de la inflación
Reviews the historical argument automatically linking minimum wage increases to inflation and contrasts it with recent evidence.
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El Premio Nobel de Economía y el salario mínimo
Connects the 2021 Nobel Prize in Economics with the empirical revolution in labor economics and modern evidence on minimum wages.
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El éxito de Jóvenes Construyendo el Futuro
Presents findings from a preliminary evaluation of Jóvenes Construyendo el Futuro and its role as a route into employment.
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El salario mínimo ha mitigado el efecto de la pandemia en la pobreza
Discusses the role of wage increases in cushioning poverty during the health crisis.
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¿Hacia dónde va el salario mínimo en México?
Explains the minimum wage recovery goals set out in Conasami's institutional program.
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Sigue subiendo el salario promedio en el país
Analyzes the spillover effects of minimum wage recovery on other levels of labor income and the wage distribution.
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Efecto dominó: del regreso a clases al retorno laboral de las mujeres
Analyzes how school closures and reopenings affected women's return to the labor market unequally.
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Inflación: ¿Realmente debemos preocuparnos?
An interpretation of the 2021 rise in inflation and its implications for workers' purchasing power.
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El nuevo modelo de ‘outsourcing’
Examines the subcontracting reform and distinguishes productive uses of outsourcing from arrangements that undermine wages, benefits and employer responsibilities.
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¿Cuántas personas ganan el salario mínimo?
English translation pending review. Summary and notes are shown in their original Spanish.
Explica por qué los múltiplos de salario mínimo pueden distorsionar comparaciones intertemporales cuando el propio mínimo cambia rápidamente.
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Salario mínimo en mercados monopsónicos
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Explica el modelo de monopsonio y presenta resultados de un artículo propio sobre cómo los efectos del salario mínimo cambian con la concentración del mercado laboral.
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Los mitos del salario mínimo
English translation pending review. Summary and notes are shown in their original Spanish.
Revisa cuatro objeciones recurrentes a los incrementos del salario mínimo —inflación, productividad, costos empresariales y ganancias— y las contrasta con evidencia empírica.
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La fijación del salario mínimo 2021 y perspectivas
English translation pending review. Summary and notes are shown in their original Spanish.
Discute los criterios para fijar el salario mínimo de 2021 en plena crisis económica y la incorporación de nuevas profesiones al sistema de mínimos profesionales.
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El futuro del salario mínimo
English translation pending review. Summary and notes are shown in their original Spanish.
Expone las metas de recuperación del salario mínimo, la actualización de salarios mínimos profesionales y la incorporación de trabajadoras del hogar y jornaleros agrícolas.
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Jóvenes Construyendo el Futuro: una política integral
English translation pending review. Summary and notes are shown in their original Spanish.
Presenta al programa Jóvenes Construyendo el Futuro como política de inserción laboral, apoyo a poblaciones vulnerables y mecanismo de capacitación para empresas.
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Desigualdad de género en el mercado laboral
English translation pending review. Summary and notes are shown in their original Spanish.
Analiza brechas salariales, trabajo de cuidados y recuperación desigual del empleo de mujeres, y plantea salario mínimo y transparencia salarial como herramientas de política pública.
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La productividad laboral en la pandemia
English translation pending review. Summary and notes are shown in their original Spanish.
Examina tres posibles explicaciones del aumento de la productividad laboral durante el confinamiento.
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Recuperación en “V” en el empleo
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Analiza las primeras señales de recuperación del empleo formal durante la pandemia.
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La reforma al sistema de pensiones
English translation pending review. Summary and notes are shown in their original Spanish.
Revisa la propuesta de reforma de pensiones y sus implicaciones para las personas trabajadoras.
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¿Ingreso Básico Universal en México?
English translation pending review. Summary and notes are shown in their original Spanish.
Discute los alcances y límites del ingreso básico universal en el contexto mexicano.
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Sobre el seguro de desempleo en la crisis
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Explica las funciones del seguro de desempleo durante una crisis económica.
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El salario mínimo en tiempos de crisis
English translation pending review. Summary and notes are shown in their original Spanish.
Examina cómo sostener la recuperación del salario mínimo durante una crisis.
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Robots y el futuro del trabajo: segunda parte
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Analiza la automatización del trabajo en México y los cambios acelerados por la pandemia.
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Robots y el futuro del trabajo: parte I
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Reflexiona sobre automatización, creación de valor y el futuro del trabajo.
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¿Quiénes pierden ante la crisis generada por la pandemia?
English translation pending review. Summary and notes are shown in their original Spanish.
Examina qué grupos de trabajadores resultaban más afectados al inicio de la pandemia.
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El mundo del trabajo después del Covid-19
English translation pending review. Summary and notes are shown in their original Spanish.
Reflexiona sobre los cambios laborales que podría acelerar la pandemia: trabajo remoto, flexibilidad, reorganización productiva y un papel más fuerte del Estado ante las crisis.
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Olvidemos el superávit y salvemos a millones de mexicanos
English translation pending review. Summary and notes are shown in their original Spanish.
Plantea apoyos fiscales al empleo y a las personas desempleadas frente a la crisis de 2020.